Company profiles · Losers & Avoid

Marathon Petroleum (MPC): US–Canada Tariff Exposure, Government Contracts, and Risk

MIXEDWATCH TIER
Last close · Oct 30$444.73 +20.6% since report
Report price · Aug 28, 2026 close$368.83
Market cap$103.6B
52-wk range161.93–369.12
Dividend · quarterly$4.00/yr 0.90% · next expected Dec

Why it’s on the map

At 52-wk HIGH on Middle East cracks — but Canadian heavy crude = 73% of Midwest (PADD 2) refinery input. Largest corporate counterparty to a Canadian oil weapon. Energy exempt TODAY; the tail risk is unpriced.

Government money & contracts

None.

Customers & commercial

Fuel.

Catalysts

Any Alberta/Ottawa export-levy headline.

Risk

Unpriced tail.

Tariff durability

Watchlist, not a short.

Dividend · #37 of 47 payers by yield
0.90% yield
$4.00 a share a year · quarterly · pays Mar · Jun · Sept · Dec
All payers ranked →
Per payment$1.00a share, 4× a year
Next payoutexpected Decnot yet declared
Last ex-dateAug 19, 2026next ex-date Nov 18, 2026
Last paidSept 10, 2026$1.00 a share
Payout ratio14%of earnings · well covered
Raised4 yrsconsecutive years of increases
Shares at the Oct 30 close of $444.732.25
Each payment$2.25
Per year · 4 payments$8.99
Recent payments
Ex-datePaidPer share
Aug 19, 2026Sept 10, 2026$1.00
May 20, 2026Jun 10, 2026$1.00
Feb 18, 2026Mar 10, 2026$1.00
Nov 19, 2025Dec 10, 2025$1.00

Yield = $1.00 × 4 ÷ the Oct 30 close of $444.73. A dividend is a board decision, not a promise — it can be raised, cut or suspended any quarter. Dividend history source